基于AHP-CRiTiC模糊综合评价的湖南省中小水电调能评估方法

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1008-0198.2025.03.006

湖南电力 ›› 2025, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (3): 42-48.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1008-0198.2025.03.006

• 源网协调与能源转换利用 • 上一篇下一篇

基于AHP-CRiTiC模糊综合评价的湖南省中小水电调能评估方法

魏加富¹, 刘慧波², 刘浩然³, 邓小亮², 汪沛⁴

1.国网湖南省电力有限公司电力科学研究院,湖南长沙 410208;
2.国网湖南省电力有限公司,湖南长沙 410004;
3.郑州大学水利与交通学院,河南郑州 450001;
4.武汉大学动力与机械学院,湖北武汉 430072

收稿日期:2025-04-01 修回日期:2025-04-28 发布日期:2025-07-02
通信作者: 汪沛(1999),女,研究方向为风光接入下水电机组调节能力提升。
基金资助:
国网湖南省电力有限公司专业咨询项目（B616A5240003）

Energy Regulation Capability Evaluation Method for Hunan′s Small and Medium Sized Hydropower Stations Based on AHP-CRITIC Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

WEi Jiafu¹, LiU Huibo², LiU Haoran³, DENG Xiaoliang², WANG Pei⁴

1. State Grid Hunan Electric Power Company Limited Research institute, Changsha 410208, China;
2. State Grid Hunan Electric Power Company Limited, Changsha 410004, China;
3. School of Water Conservancy and Transportation, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China;
4. School of Power and Mechanical Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China

Received:2025-04-01 Revised:2025-04-28 Published:2025-07-02

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 湖南省中小水电站自然资源约束呈现分布广、管理弱的特点,为强化统一监管、提升调节能力,构建调能能力综合评价体系,以水库调节性能与调控能力为核心准则,涵盖14项具体指标。通过层次分析法主观赋权与指标相关性的指标权重法客观赋权相结合,计算各指标隶属度,形成电站调能综合得分。实证选取湖南省某地级市5个水电厂,评价结果显示2个达优秀评级,3个为合格评级,验证了该体系的适用性与有效性,可为湖南省中小水电精细化管理提供量化决策支持。

关键词: 调能评价, 层次分析法（AHP）, CRiTiC法, 组合赋权法, 模糊综合评价

Abstract: The constraints on natural resources of small and medium-sized hydropower stations in Hunan Province are characterized by their widespread distribution and inefficient management. To strengthen the unified supervision and enhance regulatory capabilities, a comprehensive evaluation system for energy regulation capacity is constructed. This system takes the reservoir regulation performance and control capabilities as the core criterion, encompassing 14 specific indicators. By combining subjective weighting via the analytic hierarchy process and objective weighting using the critera importance through intercriteria correlation（CRITIC） method, the degree of affiliation for each indicator is calculated to form a comprehensive score for the energy regulation capacity of hydropower stations. An empirical study is conducted on five hydropower stations located in a prefecture-level city within Hunan Province. The evaluation results reveal that two stations reach excellent ratings and three are deemed qualified, which validates the applicability and effectiveness of the evaluation system and can provide quantitative decision support for the refined management of small and medium-sized hydropower stations in Hunan.

Key words: energy regulation evaluation, analytical hierarchy process (AHP), CRITIC weighting method, combined weighting method, fuzzy comprehensive evaluation

中图分类号:

TM73

魏加富, 刘慧波, 刘浩然, 邓小亮, 汪沛. 基于AHP-CRiTiC模糊综合评价的湖南省中小水电调能评估方法[J]. 湖南电力, 2025, 45(3): 42-48.

WEi Jiafu, LiU Huibo, LiU Haoran, DENG Xiaoliang, WANG Pei. Energy Regulation Capability Evaluation Method for Hunan′s Small and Medium Sized Hydropower Stations Based on AHP-CRITIC Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation[J]. Hunan Electric Power, 2025, 45(3): 42-48.

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基于AHP-CRiTiC模糊综合评价的湖南省中小水电调能评估方法

Energy Regulation Capability Evaluation Method for Hunan′s Small and Medium Sized Hydropower Stations Based on AHP-CRITIC Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

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