湖南电力 ›› 2026, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (2): 52-59.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1008-0198.2026.02.007

• 电网运行与控制 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于暂态稳定评估的关键特征选择及可解释性分析方法

赵雄光1, 奚江惠1, 郭秋婷2, 凌煦1, 余笑东1   

  1. 1.国家电网有限公司华中分部,湖北 武汉 430077;
    2.清华大学电机工程与应用电子技术系,北京 100084
  • 收稿日期:2025-11-19 修回日期:2025-12-05 出版日期:2026-04-25 发布日期:2026-05-09
  • 通信作者: 郭秋婷(1990),女,工程师,研究方向为电力系统分析与控制。
  • 作者简介:赵雄光(1988),男,高级工程师,研究方向为电力系统运行规划管理。奚江惠(1975),女,教授级高级工程师,研究方向为电力系统运行规划管理。
  • 基金资助:
    国家电网有限公司科技项目(521400240008)

Key feature Selection and Explainable Analysis Method Based on Transient Stability Assessment

ZHAO Xiongguang1, Xi Jianghui1, GUO Qiuting2, LiNG Xu1, YU Xiaodong1   

  1. 1. Central China Branch of State Grid Corporation of China, Wuhan 430077, China;
    2. Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
  • Received:2025-11-19 Revised:2025-12-05 Online:2026-04-25 Published:2026-05-09

摘要: 机器学习算法在电力系统暂态稳定关键特征提取中应用广泛,但其可解释性差成为关键制约因素,本文基于Optuna优化的改进轻梯度提升机模型提出一种关键特征提取及可解释性分析方法。引入Optuna自动调参算法对模型的超参数进行自动最优调整,提高模型优化性能和速度。提出基于Shapley加性解释(Shapley additive explanations,SHAP)和与模型无关的局部模型解释(local interpretable model-agnostic explanations,LiME)混合归因分析框架,通过SHAP值得到全局特征重要性排序,并结合LiME对单个样本进行局部分析验证。在IEEE 10机39节点系统上的测试结果表明,所提方法具有更高的评估准确性与更快的评估速度,能够为提取的关键特征提供合理有效的解释。

关键词: 改进轻梯度提升机, 暂态稳定评估, 可解释性, 特征选择

Abstract: Machine learning algorithms are widely applied in extracting key featuresoftransient stability in power systems, but their poor interpretability has become a key constraint. Therefore, this paper proposes a key feature extraction and interpretability analysis method based on the improved modified light gradient boosting machine model optimized by Optuna. This method introduces the Optuna automatic hyperparameter tuning algorithm to automatically and optimally adjust the hyperparameters of the model, thereby enhancing the performance and speed of model optimization. A hybrid attribution analysis framework based on SHAP and LiME is proposed. The global feature importance ranking is obtained through SHAP values, and LiME is used to conduct local analysis on individual samples for verification. The test results on the IEEE 10-machine 39-node system show that the proposed method has higher evaluation accuracy and faster evaluation speed, and can provide reasonable and effective explanations for the extracted key features.

Key words: modified light gradient boosting machine, transient stability assessment, interpretability, feature selection

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