Hunan Electric Power ›› 2025, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (1): 68-72.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1008-0198.2025.01.010

• Source and Grid Coordination & Conversion and Utilization • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Research on Electricity Prediction Model of Power Purchasing Agent Based on K-means Clustering Algorithm and BP Neural Network

YU Zhicheng1, MU Shicai2, LIANG Ye2, LI Jiachen2, LIN Hua3, CHEN Jichen1, JIN Xin1   

  1. 1. State Grid Beijing Chaoyang Power Supply Company, Beijing 100020, China;
    2. State Grid Beijing Customer Service Center, Beijing 100010, China;
    3. State Grid Beijing Electric Power Company, Beijing 100032, China
  • Received:2024-10-11 Revised:2024-11-17 Online:2025-02-25 Published:2025-03-05

Abstract: Through the in-depth portrait analysis of power purchasing agents in a certain region, the influence of different factors on the power consumption of power purchasing agents is studied, and the classification of user groups is realized through the clustering algorithm. Through the neural network algorithm, the longitudinal time series electricity and horizontal influencing factors are incorporated into the prediction formula, and the prediction models conforming to the characteristics of different clusters are constructed. Finally, the models are integrated to achieve high accuracy prediction of the overall electricity.

Key words: power purchasing agent, electricity prediction, clustering algorithm, neural network, portrait analysis

CLC Number: